Paços De Ferreira vs Vitoria Guimaraes Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Paços De Ferreira v Vitoria Guimaraes — Team-Based Signals
Paços De Ferreira vs Vitoria Guimaraes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Paços De Ferreira
POR
0-1
HT 0-1
Vitoria Guimaraes
POR
4-0
HT 2-0
Paços De Ferreira
POR
1-2
HT 1-0
Vitoria Guimaraes
POR
2-1
HT 1-1
Vitoria Guimaraes
POR
1-0
HT 0-0
Paços De Ferreira
POR
Paços De Ferreira 1-3 Vitoria Guimaraes — Actual Match Statistics
Vitoria Guimaraes beat Paços De Ferreira 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Vitoria Guimaraes as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Paços De Ferreira had 48% of the ball to Vitoria Guimaraes's 52%, shots finished 15-8.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vitoria Guimaraes led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Paços De Ferreira and 1.50 for Vitoria Guimaraes.
What was the final score of Paços De Ferreira vs Vitoria Guimaraes?
Paços De Ferreira 1-3 Vitoria Guimaraes in the Portugal - Cup on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Paços De Ferreira vs Vitoria Guimaraes?
Before kick-off our model rated an Vitoria Guimaraes win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Paços De Ferreira 28%, draw 30%, Vitoria Guimaraes 42%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vitoria Guimaraes) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.