Anadia 1-3 Estrela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 19 Oct 2024

Anadia
1-3 HT 1-0
Estrela
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Portugal - Cup – 2024/2025

Anadia vs Estrela Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.34
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
52%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.03
No
59%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
23%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
16%
+9.1pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.3pp
53%
Away Win
61%
-8.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.8pp
59%
BTTS No
55%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Anadia v Estrela — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Anadia EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Estrela EU Bookmakers 66%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -20%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
248 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 448 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 3.0

Anadia vs Estrela Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Anadia
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Estrela
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
14.12.2020 Anadia Anadia 0-1 HT 0-0 Estrela Estrela POK

Anadia 1-3 Estrela — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Anadia
1-3
AWAY Estrela
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 9
7 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Anadia vs Estrela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estrela saw off Anadia 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Estrela as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Anadia had 43% of the ball to Estrela's 57%, shots finished 13-18.

What was the final score of Anadia vs Estrela?

Anadia 1-3 Estrela in the Portugal - Cup on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Anadia vs Estrela?

Before kick-off our model rated an Estrela win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Anadia 25%, draw 23%, Estrela 53%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estrela) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Estrela) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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