Gondomar 0-1 Santa Clara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
12.23
Draw
23%
4.95
Away
59%
1.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.75
No
55%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
23%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
6%
+12.2pp
23%
Draw
18%
+5.2pp
59%
Away Win
76%
-17.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
32%
+13.0pp
55%
BTTS No
68%
-13.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gondomar EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Clara EU Bookmakers 80%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.84/2.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.25/0.33
+150% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +117%
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
251 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
6.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gondomar
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Santa Clara
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 11
23.09.2017 Gondomar Gondomar 0-1 HT 0-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara POK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gondomar
0-1
AWAY Santa Clara
28% Ball Possession 72%
2 Total Shots 16
0 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 16
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gondomar vs Santa Clara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Clara nicked a narrow win over Gondomar 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Santa Clara as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Gondomar had 28% of the ball to Santa Clara's 72%, shots finished 2-16.

What was the final score of Gondomar vs Santa Clara?

Gondomar 0-1 Santa Clara in the Portugal - Cup on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gondomar vs Santa Clara?

Before kick-off our model rated an Santa Clara win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Gondomar 18%, draw 23%, Santa Clara 59%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santa Clara), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Santa Clara) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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