Atletico CP 1-3 Rio Ave — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.91
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
53%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
5%
X/2
26%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
23%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
14%
+6.3pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.8pp
53%
Away Win
64%
-11.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.6pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico CP EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Rio Ave EU Bookmakers 69%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.23/1.93
-100% / +90% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -59%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
266 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 433 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 8.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico CP
1-3
AWAY Rio Ave
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Atletico CP vs Rio Ave
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rio Ave got the better of Atletico CP 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rio Ave as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Atletico CP had 59% of the ball to Rio Ave's 41%, shots finished 11-11.

What was the final score of Atletico CP vs Rio Ave?

Atletico CP 1-3 Rio Ave in the Portugal - Cup on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico CP vs Rio Ave?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rio Ave win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Atletico CP 20%, draw 26%, Rio Ave 53%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rio Ave) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rio Ave) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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