APOEL Nicosia vs FC Astana Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
APOEL Nicosia v FC Astana — Team-Based Signals
APOEL Nicosia vs FC Astana Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
APOEL Nicosia
AVL
1-0
HT 0-0
FC Astana
AVL
2-1
HT 0-1
APOEL Nicosia
AVL
2-1
HT 0-1
FC Astana
AVL
1-1
HT 0-0
FC Astana
ŞMP
1-0
HT 1-0
APOEL Nicosia
ŞMP
APOEL Nicosia 1-1 FC Astana — Actual Match Statistics
APOEL Nicosia and FC Astana shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had APOEL Nicosia at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, APOEL Nicosia had 37% of the ball to FC Astana's 63%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 1.19 to 1.17.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Astana led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for APOEL Nicosia and 1.00 for FC Astana.
What was the final score of APOEL Nicosia vs FC Astana?
APOEL Nicosia 1-1 FC Astana in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 19/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for APOEL Nicosia vs FC Astana?
Before kick-off our model rated a APOEL Nicosia win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split APOEL Nicosia 58%, draw 25%, FC Astana 18%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (APOEL Nicosia), BTTS No went the other way.