Cercle Brugge 1-1 Başakşehir FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 19 Dec 2024

Cercle Brugge
1-1 HT 0-0
Başakşehir FK
📅19/12/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
UEFA Europa Conference League – 2024/2025

Cercle Brugge vs Başakşehir FK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.53
No
42%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.17
2-3 Goals
35%
1.84
4-5 Goals
28%
2.89
6+ Goals
14%
8.64
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.31
1/2
6%
28.0
1/X
7%
12.4
X/1
10%
5.55
X/2
13%
6.26
X/X
12%
5.19
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
25.0
2/2
17%
3.92
2/X
8%
12.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.0 — our 9% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-4.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
61%
-3.0pp
42%
BTTS No
39%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cercle Brugge v Başakşehir FK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cercle Brugge EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Başakşehir FK EU Bookmakers 37%
+41% / +41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
2.00/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/3.77
+150% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -63%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
288 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 76%
30.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 41.0
14.9 Crosses 26.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 4.1

Cercle Brugge 1-1 Başakşehir FK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cercle Brugge
1-1
AWAY Başakşehir FK
2.18 xG 1.71
42% Ball Possession 58%
21 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
185 Passes 280
62% Pass Accuracy 70%
27 Box Touches 35
13 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cercle Brugge vs Başakşehir FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cercle Brugge and Başakşehir FK couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Cercle Brugge had 42% of the ball to Başakşehir FK's 58%, shots finished 21-12, expected goals 2.18 to 1.71.

What was the final score of Cercle Brugge vs Başakşehir FK?

Cercle Brugge 1-1 Başakşehir FK in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 19/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cercle Brugge vs Başakşehir FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cercle Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Cercle Brugge 36%, draw 28%, Başakşehir FK 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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