Heidenheim 1-1 St. Gallen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 19 Dec 2024

📅19/12/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.53
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
28%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.74
Over 2.5
59%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.49
No
39%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
6.27
2-3 Goals
36%
2.08
4-5 Goals
29%
2.45
6+ Goals
14%
5.07
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.88
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.7
X/1
16%
4.18
X/2
13%
11.7
X/X
11%
7.43
2/1
9%
18.9
2/2
8%
7.5
2/X
5%
15.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
61%
-11.8pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.0pp
28%
Away Win
19%
+8.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
33%
+8.5pp
59%
Over 2.5
67%
-8.5pp
61%
BTTS Yes
63%
-2.5pp
39%
BTTS No
37%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heidenheim EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Gallen EU Bookmakers 22%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.56/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.54
+29% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +68%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
371 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
18.0 Crosses 21.0
3.5 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heidenheim
1W-0D-0L
AWAY St. Gallen
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
21.03.2019 Heidenheim Heidenheim 3-1 HT 2-1 St. Gallen St. Gallen HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Heidenheim
1-1
AWAY St. Gallen
1.76 xG 0.67
61% Ball Possession 39%
20 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 6
421 Passes 249
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
32 Box Touches 18
30 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Heidenheim vs St. Gallen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heidenheim and St. Gallen shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Heidenheim at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (61%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Heidenheim had 61% of the ball to St. Gallen's 39%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 1.76 to 0.67.

What was the final score of Heidenheim vs St. Gallen?

Heidenheim 1-1 St. Gallen in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 19/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heidenheim vs St. Gallen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Heidenheim win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Heidenheim 49%, draw 23%, St. Gallen 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Heidenheim), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Heidenheim) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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