Rapid Wien 3-0 FC Copenhagen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 19 Dec 2024

📅19/12/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
38%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.93
2-3 Goals
43%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
2.99
6+ Goals
9%
9.54
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
3.6
1/2
6%
27.0
1/X
7%
12.5
X/1
14%
5.8
X/2
18%
5.89
X/X
14%
5.01
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
27.0
2/2
14%
3.68
2/X
7%
12.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.0 — our 10% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-3.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.7pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+1.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.6pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rapid Wien EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Copenhagen EU Bookmakers 39%
+48% / +48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
+46% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / +27%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.0
Crosses 13.0
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rapid Wien
1W-0D-0L
AWAY FC Copenhagen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
10.07.2021 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 1-0 FC Copenhagen HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rapid Wien
3-0
AWAY FC Copenhagen
1.94 xG 0.79
40% Ball Possession 60%
22 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
310 Passes 504
83% Pass Accuracy 87%
31 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Rapid Wien vs FC Copenhagen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rapid Wien swept aside FC Copenhagen 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 38% — and on the day Rapid Wien made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Rapid Wien had 40% of the ball to FC Copenhagen's 60%, shots finished 22-12, expected goals 1.94 to 0.79.

What was the final score of Rapid Wien vs FC Copenhagen?

Rapid Wien 3-0 FC Copenhagen in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 19/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rapid Wien vs FC Copenhagen?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Copenhagen win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Rapid Wien 34%, draw 28%, FC Copenhagen 38%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Copenhagen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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