Chelsea 5-1 Shamrock Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 19 Dec 2024

📅19/12/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.11
Draw
20%
8.11
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
3.68
Over 2.5
62%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.19
No
52%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
9.24
2-3 Goals
36%
2.44
4-5 Goals
31%
2.27
6+ Goals
14%
3.49
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1.15
1/2
3%
34.5
1/X
8%
34.5
X/1
17%
3.69
X/2
5%
34.5
X/X
6%
17.45
2/1
7%
25.0
2/2
7%
34.5
2/X
6%
34.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
85%
-20.0pp
20%
Draw
9%
+10.8pp
15%
Away Win
6%
+9.1pp
38%
Under 2.5
24%
+14.8pp
62%
Over 2.5
76%
-14.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.1pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelsea EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Shamrock Rovers EU Bookmakers 9%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
3.33/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.69
+88% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / +6%
64% Ball Possession 36%
19 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
518 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 76%
36.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.3
12.6 Crosses 11.7
0.7 Yellow Cards 3.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chelsea
5-1
AWAY Shamrock Rovers
2.59 xG 0.48
73% Ball Possession 27%
20 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
653 Passes 194
91% Pass Accuracy 76%
43 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chelsea vs Shamrock Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelsea ran out comfortable winners over Shamrock Rovers 5-1. Half-time: 4-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Chelsea as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

On the day, Chelsea had 73% of the ball to Shamrock Rovers's 27%, shots finished 20-6, expected goals 2.59 to 0.48.

What was the final score of Chelsea vs Shamrock Rovers?

Chelsea 5-1 Shamrock Rovers in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 19/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelsea vs Shamrock Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chelsea win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Chelsea 65%, draw 20%, Shamrock Rovers 15%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chelsea) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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