LASK Linz 1-1 Vikingur R. — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 19 Dec 2024

LASK Linz
1-1 HT 1-1
Vikingur R.
📅19/12/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
UEFA Europa Conference League – 2024/2025

LASK Linz vs Vikingur R. Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.09
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
25%
2.92
6+ Goals
9%
8.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.62
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
12.8
X/1
11%
4.75
X/2
11%
7.82
X/X
14%
5.26
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
23.0
2/2
10%
5.29
2/X
8%
13.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.0 — our 11% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-1.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-0.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.4pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

LASK Linz v Vikingur R. — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME LASK Linz EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Vikingur R. EU Bookmakers 30%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-85% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 71%
33.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
23.7 Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards –

LASK Linz 1-1 Vikingur R. — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME LASK Linz
1-1
AWAY Vikingur R.
1.10 xG 1.09
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
384 Passes 213
83% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH LASK Linz vs Vikingur R.
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LASK Linz and Vikingur R. couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was LASK Linz at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, LASK Linz had 60% of the ball to Vikingur R.'s 40%, shots finished 13-5, expected goals 1.10 to 1.09.

What was the final score of LASK Linz vs Vikingur R.?

LASK Linz 1-1 Vikingur R. in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 19/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for LASK Linz vs Vikingur R.?

Before kick-off our model rated a LASK Linz win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split LASK Linz 47%, draw 27%, Vikingur R. 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (LASK Linz), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (LASK Linz) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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