Etoile Carouge 1-2 Stade Ouchy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 19 Dec 2025

📅19/12/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
4.04
Draw
33%
3.72
Away
49%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.73
No
40%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.69
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.08
6+ Goals
12%
10.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
12%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
22%
-3.3pp
33%
Draw
24%
+9.7pp
49%
Away Win
55%
-6.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.5pp
60%
BTTS Yes
54%
+5.9pp
40%
BTTS No
46%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Etoile Carouge EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Ouchy EU Bookmakers 59%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.78/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/1.17
-30% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +9%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 82%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.1
15.5 Crosses 18.3
0.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Etoile Carouge
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Stade Ouchy
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
1.27 xG 2.16
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
353 Passes 319
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 27
11 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.08.2025 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 2-0 HT 0-0 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV2
02.05.2025 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge 1-2 HT 1-0 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
31.01.2025 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 1-0 HT 1-0 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV2
25.10.2024 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge 1-1 HT 0-0 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
27.09.2024 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 5-1 HT 2-0 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Etoile Carouge
1-2
AWAY Stade Ouchy
1.31 xG 1.64
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
270 Passes 450
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 34
11 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Etoile Carouge vs Stade Ouchy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Ouchy nicked a narrow win over Etoile Carouge 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Stade Ouchy as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Etoile Carouge had 40% of the ball to Stade Ouchy's 60%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 1.31 to 1.64.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Stade Ouchy led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Etoile Carouge and 2.20 for Stade Ouchy.

What was the final score of Etoile Carouge vs Stade Ouchy?

Etoile Carouge 1-2 Stade Ouchy in the Switzerland Challenge League on 19/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Etoile Carouge vs Stade Ouchy?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stade Ouchy win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Etoile Carouge 18%, draw 33%, Stade Ouchy 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stade Ouchy), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stade Ouchy) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSV2 More Switzerland Challenge League
19 Dec 2025
21:30 Stade Nyonnais vs Neuchatel Xamax Analysis →
22:15 Vaduz vs Aarau Analysis →