Vaduz vs Aarau Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vaduz v Aarau — Team-Based Signals
Vaduz vs Aarau Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Vaduz 3-2 Aarau — Actual Match Statistics
Vaduz nicked a narrow win over Aarau 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Vaduz as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (64%) came in.
On the day, Vaduz had 58% of the ball to Aarau's 42%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 2.46 to 3.36 — the balance of chances actually favoured Aarau.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aarau led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vaduz and 1.67 for Aarau.
What was the final score of Vaduz vs Aarau?
Vaduz 3-2 Aarau in the Switzerland Challenge League on 19/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vaduz vs Aarau?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vaduz win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Vaduz 48%, draw 22%, Aarau 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vaduz), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.