Bordeaux 2-3 Nice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 20 Jan 2024

Bordeaux
2-3 HT 0-1
Nice
📅20/01/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
France - Cup – 2023/2024

Bordeaux vs Nice Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.46
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
40%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.8
2-3 Goals
36%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
4.12
6+ Goals
9%
19.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.8 — our 33% vs market 29.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
5.81
1/2
10%
27.0
1/X
5%
14.4
X/1
10%
7.34
X/2
14%
4.26
X/X
15%
4.25
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
16%
2.71
2/X
7%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
26%
+7.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
40%
Away Win
47%
-7.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.4pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bordeaux v Nice — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bordeaux EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Nice EU Bookmakers 51%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +64% / +1%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 446 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.0
– Crosses 16.0
– Yellow Cards –

Bordeaux vs Nice Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bordeaux
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Nice
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.48 xG 1.76
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
396 Passes 403
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.05.2022 Bordeaux Bordeaux 0-1 HT 0-0 Nice Nice FR1
28.08.2021 Nice Nice 4-0 HT 3-0 Bordeaux Bordeaux FR1
17.01.2021 Nice Nice 0-3 HT 0-0 Bordeaux Bordeaux FR1
27.09.2020 Bordeaux Bordeaux 0-0 HT 0-0 Nice Nice FR1
01.03.2020 Bordeaux Bordeaux 1-1 HT 1-0 Nice Nice FR1
08.11.2019 Nice Nice 1-1 HT 1-0 Bordeaux Bordeaux FR1

Bordeaux 2-3 Nice — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bordeaux
2-3
AWAY Nice
1.34 xG 2.16
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 7
373 Passes 395
85% Pass Accuracy 88%
15 Box Touches 34
27 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bordeaux vs Nice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nice squeezed past Bordeaux 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 27% / 40% — and on the day Nice made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bordeaux had 50% of the ball to Nice's 50%, shots finished 15-20, expected goals 1.34 to 2.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nice led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Bordeaux and 1.17 for Nice.

What was the final score of Bordeaux vs Nice?

Bordeaux 2-3 Nice in the France - Cup on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bordeaux vs Nice?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nice win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Bordeaux 33%, draw 27%, Nice 40%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nice) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nice) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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