Nantes 0-1 Stade Lavallois — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
32%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.95
No
45%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.04
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
23%
3.79
6+ Goals
14%
16.45
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.79 — our 23% vs market 20.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.12
1/2
10%
34.0
1/X
8%
15.4
X/1
16%
3.78
X/2
10%
10.05
X/X
12%
4.79
2/1
7%
24.7
2/2
12%
8.29
2/X
7%
16.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
57%
-16.2pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.3pp
32%
Away Win
18%
+13.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
47%
+8.0pp
45%
BTTS No
53%
-8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nantes EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Lavallois EU Bookmakers 21%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
2.47/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
+83% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +39%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
378 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 73%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.7 Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nantes
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Stade Lavallois
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
15.07.2023 Nantes Nantes 0-3 HT 0-2 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois HAZ
28.10.2014 Nantes Nantes 4-0 HT 1-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FRLK
19.01.2013 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 0-0 HT 0-0 Nantes Nantes FR2
10.08.2012 Nantes Nantes 3-1 HT 1-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
20.04.2012 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 2-0 HT 2-0 Nantes Nantes FR2
16.12.2011 Nantes Nantes 2-3 HT 0-1 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
POST-MATCH Nantes vs Stade Lavallois
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Lavallois squeezed past Nantes 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Nantes at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stade Lavallois led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Nantes and 1.50 for Stade Lavallois.

What was the final score of Nantes vs Stade Lavallois?

Nantes 0-1 Stade Lavallois in the France - Cup on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nantes vs Stade Lavallois?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nantes win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Nantes 41%, draw 27%, Stade Lavallois 32%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nantes) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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