Rodez 1-3 Monaco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 20 Jan 2024

Rodez
1-3 HT 1-1
Monaco
📅20/01/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.34
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
51%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.59
Over 2.5
57%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.61
No
44%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.75
2-3 Goals
35%
2.03
4-5 Goals
30%
2.59
6+ Goals
12%
5.97
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
9.16
1/2
6%
19.2
1/X
6%
17.3
X/1
12%
13.4
X/2
17%
3.83
X/X
9%
7.45
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
28%
1.71
2/X
9%
17.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
15%
+10.0pp
24%
Draw
19%
+4.7pp
51%
Away Win
66%
-14.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.1pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rodez EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Monaco EU Bookmakers 70%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +94%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
278 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.9
Crosses 19.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rodez
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Monaco
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.84 xG 2.32
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 7
241 Passes 488
78% Pass Accuracy 89%
17 Box Touches 41
18 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.01.2023 Monaco Monaco 2-2 HT 2-1 Rodez Rodez FRK
POST-MATCH Rodez vs Monaco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monaco beat Rodez 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Monaco as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Rodez vs Monaco?

Rodez 1-3 Monaco in the France - Cup on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rodez vs Monaco?

Before kick-off our model rated an Monaco win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Rodez 25%, draw 24%, Monaco 51%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monaco), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Monaco) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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