20/01/2024
·
22:45
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-3
2nd Score
0-4
Orleans vs PSG Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
5%
20%
Draw
10%
62%
Away Win
84%
47%
Under 2.5
24%
53%
Over 2.5
76%
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
56%
BTTS No
55%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Orleans v PSG — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Orleans
EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY
PSG
EU Bookmakers 90%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+5% /
+4%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+101%
/
+133%
38%
Ball Possession
62%
9
Total Shots
16
3
Shots on Target
6
4
Corners
5
259 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
506 · 85%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
43.8
–
Crosses
15.3
–
Yellow Cards
1.8
POST-MATCH
Orleans vs PSG
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
PSG swept aside Orleans 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had PSG as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Orleans vs PSG?
Orleans 1-4 PSG in the France - Cup on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Orleans vs PSG?
Before kick-off our model rated an PSG win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Orleans 18%, draw 20%, PSG 62%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSG), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (PSG)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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FRK
More France - Cup
20 Jan 2024