Trelissac 1-2 Brest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 20 Jan 2024

Trelissac
1-2 HT 0-0
Brest
📅20/01/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
France - Cup – 2023/2024

Trelissac vs Brest Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
9.57
Draw
21%
5.15
Away
60%
1.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.18
Over 2.5
66%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.27
No
51%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
3.95
2-3 Goals
46%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.05
6+ Goals
15%
9.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
19.2
1/2
6%
25.5
1/X
5%
27.0
X/1
8%
22.6
X/2
16%
3.23
X/X
5%
7.53
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
39%
1.45
2/X
10%
26.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
8%
+11.2pp
21%
Draw
16%
+4.1pp
60%
Away Win
76%
-15.3pp
34%
Under 2.5
42%
-7.7pp
66%
Over 2.5
58%
+7.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
40%
+8.9pp
51%
BTTS No
60%
-8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Trelissac v Brest — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trelissac EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Brest EU Bookmakers 80%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
2.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/0.33
+150% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +121%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 6
300 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 494 · 85%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
– Crosses 22.0
– Yellow Cards 2.0

Trelissac 1-2 Brest — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trelissac
1-2
AWAY Brest
0.93 xG 1.75
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 6
201 Passes 376
66% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 37
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Trelissac vs Brest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brest squeezed past Trelissac 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Brest as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Trelissac had 39% of the ball to Brest's 61%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 0.93 to 1.75.

What was the final score of Trelissac vs Brest?

Trelissac 1-2 Brest in the France - Cup on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trelissac vs Brest?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brest win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Trelissac 19%, draw 21%, Brest 60%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brest), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brest) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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