The New Saints vs Caernarfon Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
The New Saints v Caernarfon Town — Team-Based Signals
The New Saints vs Caernarfon Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
The New Saints 2-1 Caernarfon Town — Actual Match Statistics
The New Saints came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Caernarfon Town 2-1. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
Just as the model leaned, our model had The New Saints as the likeliest winner at 79%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (70%) came in.
The match data tells the story: The New Saints had 57% of the ball to Caernarfon Town's 43%, shots finished 16-6.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, The New Saints had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for The New Saints and 0.50 for Caernarfon Town.
The New Saints vs Caernarfon Town Result & Final Score
The New Saints 2 - 1 Caernarfon Town in the Wales - Premier League on 20/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
The New Saints vs Caernarfon Town Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a The New Saints win the most likely single outcome at about 79%, with the full match-result split The New Saints 79%, draw 13%, Caernarfon Town 8%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (The New Saints), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.