The New Saints vs Caernarfon Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
The New Saints v Caernarfon Town — Team-Based Signals
The New Saints vs Caernarfon Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
The New Saints 2-0 Caernarfon Town — Actual Match Statistics
The New Saints put daylight between themselves and Caernarfon Town 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had The New Saints as the likeliest winner at 80%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (75%) never looked like landing.
On the day, The New Saints had 63% of the ball to Caernarfon Town's 37%, shots finished 23-2.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, The New Saints had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for The New Saints and 0.83 for Caernarfon Town.
The New Saints vs Caernarfon Town Result & Final Score
The New Saints 2 - 0 Caernarfon Town in the Wales - Premier League on 28/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
The New Saints vs Caernarfon Town Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a The New Saints win the most likely single outcome at about 80%, with the full match-result split The New Saints 80%, draw 11%, Caernarfon Town 8%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (The New Saints) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.