Ballard 0-1 Spokane Velocity — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 20 Mar 2025

📅20/03/2025 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.75
Draw
35%
3.64
Away
33%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.95
Over
45%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
36%
4-5
25%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
19%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
23%
+9.1pp
34%
Draw
24%
+10.6pp
33%
Away Win
53%
-19.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.8pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballard EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Spokane Velocity EU Bookmakers 57%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
305 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballard
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Spokane Velocity
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.88 xG 0.72
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 3
228 Passes 211
67% Pass Accuracy 62%
24 Box Touches 16
27 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 5
21.03.2024 Ballard Ballard 0-1 HT 0-0 Spokane Velocity Spokane Velocity ABDK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ballard
0-1
AWAY Spokane Velocity
0.71 xG 0.72
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
425 Passes 430
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 18
25 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ballard vs Spokane Velocity
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spokane Velocity edged past Ballard 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 34% / 33% — and on the day Spokane Velocity made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Ballard had 50% of the ball to Spokane Velocity's 50%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 0.71 to 0.72.

What was the final score of Ballard vs Spokane Velocity?

Ballard 0-1 Spokane Velocity in the USA - Open Cup on 20/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballard vs Spokane Velocity?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Ballard 32%, draw 34%, Spokane Velocity 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Draw), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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