Katar 5-1 Kuzey Kore — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 20 Mar 2025

📅20/03/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.93
2-3 Goals
33%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.57
6+ Goals
14%
15.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.93 — our 32% vs market 26.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
59%
-9.3pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.9pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+5.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.2pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Katar EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Kuzey Kore EU Bookmakers 21%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.83/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/0.49
-6% / -67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +58%
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
424 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
19.8 Crosses 13.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Katar
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Kuzey Kore
3.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.77 xG 0.29
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
434 Passes 166
84% Pass Accuracy 70%
30 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
10.09.2024 Kuzey Kore Kuzey Kore 2-2 HT 1-2 Katar Katar DKE
13.01.2019 Kuzey Kore Kuzey Kore 0-6 HT 0-3 Katar Katar ASK
06.06.2017 Katar Katar 2-2 HT 1-0 Kuzey Kore Kuzey Kore HAZ
06.11.2014 Katar Katar 3-1 HT 0-0 Kuzey Kore Kuzey Kore HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Katar
5-1
AWAY Kuzey Kore
2.55 xG 0.47
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
406 Passes 353
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
10 Box Touches 21
7 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Katar vs Kuzey Kore
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Katar ran out comfortable winners over Kuzey Kore 5-1. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Katar as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Katar had 53% of the ball to Kuzey Kore's 47%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 2.55 to 0.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Katar had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 3.25 goals for Katar and 1.25 for Kuzey Kore.

What was the final score of Katar vs Kuzey Kore?

Katar 5-1 Kuzey Kore in the World Cup Qualifiers on 20/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Katar vs Kuzey Kore?

Before kick-off our model rated a Katar win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Katar 50%, draw 27%, Kuzey Kore 23%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Katar) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Katar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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