Suudi Arabistan 1-0 Çin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 20 Mar 2025

📅20/03/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.45
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
20%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.63
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.04
6+ Goals
11%
10.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.63 — our 32% vs market 21.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
65%
-7.6pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.0pp
20%
Away Win
14%
+5.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.9pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suudi Arabistan EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Çin EU Bookmakers 17%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.28/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.16
-13% / +97% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +3%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
359 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 213 · 67%
10.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.7
10.4 Crosses 11.5
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suudi Arabistan
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Çin
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.70 xG 1.08
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
448 Passes 231
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
25 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.09.2024 Çin Çin 1-2 HT 1-1 Suudi Arabistan Suudi Arabistan DKE
24.03.2022 Çin Çin 1-1 HT 0-1 Suudi Arabistan Suudi Arabistan DKE
12.10.2021 Suudi Arabistan Suudi Arabistan 3-2 HT 2-0 Çin Çin DKE
10.01.2015 Suudi Arabistan Suudi Arabistan 0-1 HT 0-0 Çin Çin ASK
19.11.2013 Çin Çin 0-0 HT 0-0 Suudi Arabistan Suudi Arabistan ASKE
06.02.2013 Suudi Arabistan Suudi Arabistan 2-1 HT 1-1 Çin Çin ASKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Suudi Arabistan
1-0
AWAY Çin
2.34 xG 0.14
80% Ball Possession 20%
19 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 3
676 Passes 127
91% Pass Accuracy 68%
43 Box Touches 11
20 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Suudi Arabistan vs Çin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suudi Arabistan squeezed past Çin 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Suudi Arabistan as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Suudi Arabistan had 80% of the ball to Çin's 20%, shots finished 19-4, expected goals 2.34 to 0.14 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Suudi Arabistan's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Suudi Arabistan had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Suudi Arabistan and 1.00 for Çin.

What was the final score of Suudi Arabistan vs Çin?

Suudi Arabistan 1-0 Çin in the World Cup Qualifiers on 20/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suudi Arabistan vs Çin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Suudi Arabistan win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Suudi Arabistan 57%, draw 23%, Çin 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Suudi Arabistan), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Suudi Arabistan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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