Bellinzona 2-1 Stade Ouchy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 20 Mar 2026

📅20/03/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.71
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
57%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.29
Over 2.5
58%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.39
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
22%
2.7
6+ Goals
13%
7.36
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
13%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
18%
+3.2pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.3pp
57%
Away Win
61%
-4.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
40%
+1.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
60%
-1.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.6pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bellinzona EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Ouchy EU Bookmakers 66%
-11% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.94/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/1.29
-46% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -8%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
285 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 407 · 83%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.3
17.6 Crosses 19.8
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bellinzona
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Stade Ouchy
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.75 xG 1.79
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
195 Passes 339
70% Pass Accuracy 81%
8 Box Touches 23
11 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
25.10.2025 Bellinzona Bellinzona 0-3 HT 0-1 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
09.08.2025 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 2-2 HT 1-1 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
09.05.2025 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 1-1 HT 0-1 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
15.02.2025 Bellinzona Bellinzona 0-1 HT 0-0 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
19.10.2024 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 1-1 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
24.09.2024 Bellinzona Bellinzona 2-1 HT 1-0 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bellinzona
2-1
AWAY Stade Ouchy
1.82 xG 1.06
34% Ball Possession 66%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
191 Passes 444
70% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 24
9 Crosses 25
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bellinzona vs Stade Ouchy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bellinzona nicked a narrow win over Stade Ouchy 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Stade Ouchy at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Bellinzona had 34% of the ball to Stade Ouchy's 66%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.82 to 1.06.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stade Ouchy led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bellinzona and 1.50 for Stade Ouchy.

What was the final score of Bellinzona vs Stade Ouchy?

Bellinzona 2-1 Stade Ouchy in the Switzerland Challenge League on 20/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bellinzona vs Stade Ouchy?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stade Ouchy win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Bellinzona 21%, draw 22%, Stade Ouchy 57%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stade Ouchy) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stade Ouchy) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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