Newport City 2-3 Treowen Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 20 Mar 2026

Newport City
2-3 HT 1-1
Treowen Stars
📅20/03/2026 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2025/2026

Newport City vs Treowen Stars Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.72
Draw
17%
3.8
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
54%
-0.4pp
17%
Draw
23%
-6.4pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+6.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.3pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Newport City v Treowen Stars — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newport City EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Treowen Stars EU Bookmakers 26%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.35/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.30/1.44
-35% / +94% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +72% / +29%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
358 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Newport City vs Treowen Stars Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newport City
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Treowen Stars
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
The Meetings
29.11.2025 Treowen Stars 2-0 HT 0-0 Newport City Newport City GALFAW
POST-MATCH Newport City vs Treowen Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Treowen Stars edged past Newport City 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Newport City at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

What was the final score of Newport City vs Treowen Stars?

Newport City 2-3 Treowen Stars in the Wales - FAW Championship on 20/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newport City vs Treowen Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newport City win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Newport City 54%, draw 17%, Treowen Stars 30%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Newport City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Newport City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GALFAW More Wales - FAW Championship
20 Mar 2026
22:30 Ammanford vs Baglan Dragons Analysis →
22:30 Afan Lido vs Llantwit Major Analysis →
22:45 Newtown vs Buckley Town Analysis →
22:45 Ruthin Town vs Gresford Athletic Analysis →
22:45 Denbigh Town vs Airbus UK Analysis →
22:45 Trethomas Bluebirds vs Pontypridd Town AFC Analysis →