Trethomas Bluebirds 4-2 Pontypridd Town AFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 20 Mar 2026

📅20/03/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
20%
3.45
Away
43%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.18
Over 2.5
58%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.55
No
40%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
11%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
5%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.8pp
20%
Draw
26%
-5.1pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+2.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
42%
+0.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
58%
-0.2pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.7pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trethomas Bluebirds EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Pontypridd Town AFC EU Bookmakers 45%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +10%
2.61/2.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.65
+64% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
319 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trethomas Bluebirds
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Pontypridd Town AFC
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
28.11.2025 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC 2-1 HT 1-1 Trethomas Bluebirds Trethomas Bluebirds GALFAW
12.04.2025 Trethomas Bluebirds Trethomas Bluebirds 4-0 HT 3-0 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC GALFAW
14.09.2024 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC 2-3 HT 0-2 Trethomas Bluebirds Trethomas Bluebirds GALFAW
POST-MATCH Trethomas Bluebirds vs Pontypridd Town AFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trethomas Bluebirds got the better of Pontypridd Town AFC 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Pontypridd Town AFC at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Trethomas Bluebirds had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Trethomas Bluebirds and 1.33 for Pontypridd Town AFC.

What was the final score of Trethomas Bluebirds vs Pontypridd Town AFC?

Trethomas Bluebirds 4-2 Pontypridd Town AFC in the Wales - FAW Championship on 20/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trethomas Bluebirds vs Pontypridd Town AFC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pontypridd Town AFC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Trethomas Bluebirds 36%, draw 20%, Pontypridd Town AFC 43%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Pontypridd Town AFC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pontypridd Town AFC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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