Ruthin Town 2-1 Gresford Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 20 Mar 2026

📅20/03/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
30%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
71%
1.46
No
29%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+2.6pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.3pp
30%
Away Win
34%
-3.8pp
71%
BTTS Yes
64%
+6.2pp
29%
BTTS No
36%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ruthin Town EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Gresford Athletic EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +23%
1.24/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.04
-29% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +59%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
290 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ruthin Town
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Gresford Athletic
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
08.08.2025 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 2-1 HT 1-0 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town GALFAW
01.01.2025 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 1-0 HT 1-0 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town GALFAW
06.09.2024 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town 4-0 HT 2-0 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALFAW
29.03.2024 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 1-2 HT 1-2 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town GALFAW
11.08.2023 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALFAW
18.02.2023 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 1-0 HT 1-0 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town GALFAW
POST-MATCH Ruthin Town vs Gresford Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ruthin Town nicked a narrow win over Gresford Athletic 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ruthin Town as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (71%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gresford Athletic led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ruthin Town and 1.00 for Gresford Athletic.

What was the final score of Ruthin Town vs Gresford Athletic?

Ruthin Town 2-1 Gresford Athletic in the Wales - FAW Championship on 20/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ruthin Town vs Gresford Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ruthin Town win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ruthin Town 45%, draw 25%, Gresford Athletic 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ruthin Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ruthin Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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