Ammanford vs Baglan Dragons Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ammanford v Baglan Dragons — Team-Based Signals
Ammanford vs Baglan Dragons Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-1
Baglan Dragons
GALFAW
Ammanford squeezed past Baglan Dragons 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Ammanford as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Ammanford had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Ammanford and 0.80 for Baglan Dragons.
What was the final score of Ammanford vs Baglan Dragons?
Ammanford 1-0 Baglan Dragons in the Wales - FAW Championship on 20/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ammanford vs Baglan Dragons?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ammanford win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Ammanford 61%, draw 19%, Baglan Dragons 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ammanford) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.