Afan Lido 4-1 Llantwit Major — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 20 Mar 2026

📅20/03/2026 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.29
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
55%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.07
Over 2.5
59%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.61
No
36%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
21%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
27%
-5.1pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.7pp
55%
Away Win
48%
+6.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
44%
-3.9pp
59%
Over 2.5
56%
+3.9pp
64%
BTTS Yes
58%
+5.7pp
36%
BTTS No
42%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Afan Lido EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Llantwit Major EU Bookmakers 52%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.49/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.22
+4% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +9%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
276 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 413 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Afan Lido
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Llantwit Major
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
29.11.2025 Llantwit Major 1-0 HT 0-0 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
19.07.2025 Llantwit Major 1-2 HT 1-2 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALLK
02.11.2024 Llantwit Major 2-0 HT 0-0 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
23.08.2024 Afan Lido Afan Lido 1-3 HT 0-0 Llantwit Major GALFAW
20.01.2024 Llantwit Major 1-0 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
06.10.2023 Afan Lido Afan Lido 4-1 HT 0-0 Llantwit Major GALFAW
POST-MATCH Afan Lido vs Llantwit Major
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Afan Lido ran out comfortable winners over Llantwit Major 4-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Llantwit Major at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (64%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Llantwit Major led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Afan Lido and 1.50 for Llantwit Major.

What was the final score of Afan Lido vs Llantwit Major?

Afan Lido 4-1 Llantwit Major in the Wales - FAW Championship on 20/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Afan Lido vs Llantwit Major?

Before kick-off our model rated an Llantwit Major win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Afan Lido 22%, draw 24%, Llantwit Major 55%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Llantwit Major) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Llantwit Major) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GALFAW More Wales - FAW Championship
20 Mar 2026
22:30 Newport City vs Treowen Stars Analysis →
22:30 Ammanford vs Baglan Dragons Analysis →
22:45 Newtown vs Buckley Town Analysis →
22:45 Ruthin Town vs Gresford Athletic Analysis →
22:45 Denbigh Town vs Airbus UK Analysis →
22:45 Trethomas Bluebirds vs Pontypridd Town AFC Analysis →