Denbigh Town 3-2 Airbus UK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 20 Mar 2026

📅20/03/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
6%
7.18
Draw
13%
5.28
Away
81%
1.26
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
Over 2.5
70%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.68
No
39%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
2%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
2%
X/2
25%
X/X
5%
2/1
2%
2/2
46%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
6%
Home Win
11%
-4.2pp
13%
Draw
15%
-2.6pp
81%
Away Win
74%
+6.8pp
61%
BTTS Yes
56%
+5.2pp
39%
BTTS No
44%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Denbigh Town EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Airbus UK EU Bookmakers 79%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +8%
0.67/3.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.98/0.66
-29% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +59%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
293 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Denbigh Town
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Airbus UK
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 3.20
14.11.2025 Airbus UK Airbus UK 2-3 HT 2-1 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town GALFAW
08.11.2024 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town 0-4 HT 0-1 Airbus UK Airbus UK GALFAW
26.07.2024 Airbus UK Airbus UK 7-0 HT 0-0 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town GALFAW
02.03.2024 Airbus UK Airbus UK 3-1 HT 2-1 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town GALFAW
08.09.2023 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Airbus UK Airbus UK GALFAW
POST-MATCH Denbigh Town vs Airbus UK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Denbigh Town edged past Airbus UK 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Airbus UK at 81% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Airbus UK led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Denbigh Town and 3.20 for Airbus UK.

What was the final score of Denbigh Town vs Airbus UK?

Denbigh Town 3-2 Airbus UK in the Wales - FAW Championship on 20/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Denbigh Town vs Airbus UK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Airbus UK win the most likely single outcome at about 81%, with the full match-result split Denbigh Town 6%, draw 13%, Airbus UK 81%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Airbus UK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Airbus UK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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