Urawa Red Diamonds 3-1 Yokohama F. Marinos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 20 Apr 2025

Urawa Red Diamonds
3-1 HT 1-0
Yokohama F. Marinos
📅20/04/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2025

Urawa Red Diamonds vs Yokohama F. Marinos Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
34%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.22
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.52
6+ Goals
9%
13.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 33% vs market 25.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.9
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
12.95
X/1
14%
4.92
X/2
13%
7.25
X/X
12%
4.66
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
15%
5.31
2/X
7%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+7.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.1pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Urawa Red Diamonds v Yokohama F. Marinos — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -8%
1.37/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.58
+5% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -27%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
376 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 80%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
16.6 Crosses 19.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.6

Urawa Red Diamonds vs Yokohama F. Marinos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.91 xG 1.24
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
374 Passes 484
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
30.10.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 0-0 HT 0-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
06.05.2024 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 2-1 HT 1-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
15.10.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 2-0 HT 0-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JLK
11.10.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 1-0 HT 0-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JLK
06.08.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 0-0 HT 0-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
25.02.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 2-0 HT 1-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP

Urawa Red Diamonds 3-1 Yokohama F. Marinos — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds
3-1
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
1.76 xG 1.62
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 3
286 Passes 497
79% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 19
POST-MATCH Urawa Red Diamonds vs Yokohama F. Marinos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Urawa Red Diamonds got the better of Yokohama F. Marinos 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Urawa Red Diamonds found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Urawa Red Diamonds had 39% of the ball to Yokohama F. Marinos's 61%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.76 to 1.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Urawa Red Diamonds and 0.67 for Yokohama F. Marinos.

What was the final score of Urawa Red Diamonds vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Urawa Red Diamonds 3-1 Yokohama F. Marinos in the Japan - J1 League on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Urawa Red Diamonds vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Urawa Red Diamonds win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Urawa Red Diamonds 40%, draw 26%, Yokohama F. Marinos 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Urawa Red Diamonds) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Urawa Red Diamonds) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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