York United 1-0 Vancouver FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 20 Apr 2026

📅20/04/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.82
Over 2.5
53%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.73
No
43%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.02
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.46
6+ Goals
12%
14.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
43%
+4.1pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.8pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-1.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
51%
-4.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
49%
+4.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
54%
+3.7pp
43%
BTTS No
46%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME York United EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Vancouver FC EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.32/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.84
+9% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -49%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
353 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 77%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
17.3 Crosses 16.8
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME York United
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Vancouver FC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.33 xG 0.69
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
355 Passes 365
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2025 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 2-1 HT 2-1 York United York United KAPL
19.07.2025 York United York United 4-0 HT 1-0 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC KAPL
25.05.2025 York United York United 1-0 HT 1-0 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC KAPL
07.04.2025 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 0-2 HT 0-0 York United York United KAPL
07.09.2024 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 0-1 HT 0-1 York United York United KAPL
21.07.2024 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 1-1 HT 0-0 York United York United KAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME York United
1-0
AWAY Vancouver FC
0.50 xG 1.15
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 10
302 Passes 340
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
8 Box Touches 27
11 Crosses 45
5 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH York United vs Vancouver FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

York United nicked a narrow win over Vancouver FC 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had York United as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, York United had 46% of the ball to Vancouver FC's 54%, shots finished 6-14, expected goals 0.50 to 1.15 — on chances, Vancouver FC could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, York United had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for York United and 0.50 for Vancouver FC.

What was the final score of York United vs Vancouver FC?

York United 1-0 Vancouver FC in the Kanada - Premier League on 20/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for York United vs Vancouver FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a York United win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split York United 47%, draw 25%, Vancouver FC 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (York United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (York United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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