Vancouver FC vs York United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vancouver FC v York United — Team-Based Signals
Vancouver FC vs York United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Vancouver FC 2-1 York United — Actual Match Statistics
Vancouver FC squeezed past York United 2-1.
Our pre-match lean was York United at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Vancouver FC had 37% of the ball to York United's 63%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 1.06 to 1.65 — on chances, York United could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, York United led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Vancouver FC and 1.83 for York United.
What was the final score of Vancouver FC vs York United?
Vancouver FC 2-1 York United in the Kanada - Premier League on 22/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vancouver FC vs York United?
Before kick-off our model rated an York United win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Vancouver FC 29%, draw 21%, York United 50%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (York United) went the other way.