Saburtalo vs Gagra Prediction — Model Probabilities
Saburtalo v Gagra — Team-Based Signals
Saburtalo vs Gagra Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Saburtalo 1-0 Gagra — Actual Match Statistics
Saburtalo shaded a tight game against Gagra 1-0. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Saburtalo as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 49% and both teams to score at 50%.
On the day, possession split 56% to 44% in Saburtalo's favour, shots finished 12-9.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Saburtalo had the better of it with 6 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.17 a game for Saburtalo against 0.83 for Gagra.
Saburtalo vs Gagra Result & Final Score
Saburtalo 1 - 0 Gagra in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 20/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Saburtalo vs Gagra Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Saburtalo win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Saburtalo 61%, draw 24%, Gagra 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saburtalo), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.