Independiente Del Valle 6-1 Emelec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 20 Jul 2026

📅20/07/2026 · 🕒03:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.45
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
15%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
13%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
65%
-2.5pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.4pp
15%
Away Win
14%
+1.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.5pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Del Valle EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Emelec EU Bookmakers 17%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +19%
1.62/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.56
-2% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +12%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
365 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 75%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
21.5 Crosses 13.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Del Valle
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Emelec
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.47 xG 0.74
65% Ball Possession 35%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
462 Passes 217
88% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 9
17 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.03.2026 Emelec Emelec 2-0 HT 2-0 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
24.08.2025 Emelec Emelec 0-1 HT 0-1 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
05.05.2025 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 1-2 HT 0-1 Emelec Emelec EKV1
15.09.2024 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 2-1 HT 2-1 Emelec Emelec EKV1
01.04.2024 Emelec Emelec 0-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
01.10.2023 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 2-1 HT 1-1 Emelec Emelec EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Del Valle
6-1
AWAY Emelec
3.67 xG 0.55
21 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 0
375 Passes 258
34 Box Touches 8
22 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Independiente Del Valle vs Emelec
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Independiente Del Valle ran out comfortable winners over Emelec 6-1 in the Ecuador - Premier on 20 Jul 2026. Half-time: 3-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, shots finished 21-4, expected goals 3.67 to 0.55.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Del Valle have the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Independiente Del Valle and 1.00 for Emelec.

What was the final score of Independiente Del Valle vs Emelec?

Independiente Del Valle 6-1 Emelec in the Ecuador - Premier on 20/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Del Valle vs Emelec?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Del Valle win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Independiente Del Valle 62%, draw 23%, Emelec 15%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Del Valle) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Independiente Del Valle) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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