Mushuc Runa vs Orense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mushuc Runa v Orense — Team-Based Signals
Mushuc Runa vs Orense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Mushuc Runa 2-1 Orense — Actual Match Statistics
Mushuc Runa squeezed past Orense 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mushuc Runa as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 2.06 to 0.63 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Mushuc Runa's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orense led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Mushuc Runa and 2.33 for Orense.
What was the final score of Mushuc Runa vs Orense?
Mushuc Runa 2-1 Orense in the Ecuador - Premier on 20/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mushuc Runa vs Orense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mushuc Runa win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Mushuc Runa 49%, draw 29%, Orense 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mushuc Runa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.