Oldham Athletic 1-1 AFC Fylde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 20 Aug 2024

📅20/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
35%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.95
Over 2.5
42%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.55
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.38
6+ Goals
9%
12.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.55 — our 31% vs market 22.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.6
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.75
X/1
12%
4.38
X/2 EV+ ✗
18%
7.51
X/X
12%
5.0
2/1
6%
23.6
2/2
11%
5.5
2/X
5%
14.2
Value flag · X/2 at 7.51 — our 18% vs market 9.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
49%
-10.0pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
35%
Away Win
26%
+9.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.2pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oldham Athletic EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Fylde EU Bookmakers 29%
-6% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
1.70/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.76
+4% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
350 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oldham Athletic
0W-0D-2L
AWAY AFC Fylde
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
3 Total Shots 21
0 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2024 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 1-3 HT 1-3 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İBSL
24.10.2023 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 3-0 HT 2-0 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oldham Athletic
1-1
AWAY AFC Fylde
62% Ball Possession 38%
8 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Oldham Athletic vs AFC Fylde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oldham Athletic and AFC Fylde shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Oldham Athletic had 62% of the ball to AFC Fylde's 38%, shots finished 8-3.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, AFC Fylde led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Oldham Athletic and 3.00 for AFC Fylde.

What was the final score of Oldham Athletic vs AFC Fylde?

Oldham Athletic 1-1 AFC Fylde in the England - National League on 20/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oldham Athletic vs AFC Fylde?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oldham Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Oldham Athletic 39%, draw 26%, AFC Fylde 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Oldham Athletic), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Oldham Athletic) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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