Farnborough 2-0 Eastbourne Borough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 20 Aug 2024

📅20/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.64
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
25%
3.32
6+ Goals
8%
11.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.64 — our 29% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-8.2pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.3pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+5.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.9pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Farnborough EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Eastbourne Borough EU Bookmakers 26%
-3% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +7%
1.98/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.34
+11% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
395 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Farnborough
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Eastbourne Borough
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
27.01.2024 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 2-1 HT 1-1 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
12.08.2023 Farnborough Farnborough 1-1 HT 1-0 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
18.02.2023 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 2-0 HT 0-0 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
08.11.2022 Farnborough Farnborough 0-0 HT 0-0 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Farnborough
2-0
AWAY Eastbourne Borough
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Farnborough vs Eastbourne Borough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Farnborough got the better of Eastbourne Borough 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Farnborough as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Farnborough had 40% of the ball to Eastbourne Borough's 60%, shots finished 11-8.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Eastbourne Borough led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Farnborough and 1.25 for Eastbourne Borough.

What was the final score of Farnborough vs Eastbourne Borough?

Farnborough 2-0 Eastbourne Borough in the England - Conference on 20/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Farnborough vs Eastbourne Borough?

Before kick-off our model rated a Farnborough win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Farnborough 45%, draw 27%, Eastbourne Borough 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Farnborough), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Farnborough) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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