Rayo Vallecano vs Deportivo Alaves Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Spain - Primera Liga, 20 Aug 2026

Rayo Vallecano
vs
Deportivo Alaves
📅20/08/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
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Spain - Primera Liga – 2026/2027

Rayo Vallecano vs Deportivo Alaves Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
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Rayo Vallecano v Deportivo Alaves — Team-Based Signals

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iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
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Team-Based Signals — members only
The why behind every prediction: how each side performs against the bookmaker, expected goals, attack & defence versus the league, and the on-pitch signals below.
  • Team Performance vs Market
  • Expected Goals — scored / conceded
  • Attack / Defense vs League Average
  • Possession · Total Shots · Shots on Target
  • Corners · Passes · Box Touches · Crosses · Cards
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Rayo Vallecano vs Deportivo Alaves Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rayo Vallecano
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Deportivo Alaves
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.10 xG 1.26
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
324 Passes 275
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 26
20 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
23.05.2026 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 1-2 HT 1-0 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano İS1
14.01.2026 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 2-0 HT 0-0 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano İSPK
26.10.2025 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
29.03.2025 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 0-2 HT 0-1 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano İS1
26.10.2024 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
10.03.2024 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 1-0 HT 1-0 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano İS1
COMMENT Rayo Vallecano vs Deportivo Alaves
iddaakolik Match Comment — summary & quick answers

Over 2.5 goals has landed in just 1 of Rayo Vallecano's last 5 home league games, and both teams have scored in 4 of Deportivo Alaves's last 5 away league games.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rayo Vallecano have the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Rayo Vallecano and 0.67 for Deportivo Alaves.

When do Rayo Vallecano and Deportivo Alaves play?

Rayo Vallecano play Deportivo Alaves in the Spain - Primera Liga on 20/08/2026, kick-off 22:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Who is predicted to win Rayo Vallecano vs Deportivo Alaves?

Our model's prediction for Rayo Vallecano vs Deportivo Alaves is a Rayo Vallecano win at about 46% probability, priced 2.18 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Rayo Vallecano 46%, draw 25%, Deportivo Alaves 29%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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