Fiorentina vs Napoli Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Italy - Serie A, 20 Sep 2026

📅20/09/2026 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 🔒 ?-? 2nd Score 🔒 ?-?
See Scores
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.96
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
42%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
🔒 Free account Register
Both Teams to Score
🔒 Free account Register
Total Goals
🔒 Free account Register
Half Time / Full Time
🔒 Free account Register
🔒
Unlock the full board Create a free account and every market opens for every match — no limits. Every finished match is free to review.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fiorentina
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Napoli
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.14 xG 1.98
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
393 Passes 339
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
31.01.2026 Napoli Napoli 2-1 HT 1-0 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTA
13.09.2025 Fiorentina Fiorentina 1-3 HT 0-2 Napoli Napoli İTA
09.03.2025 Napoli Napoli 2-1 HT 1-0 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTA
04.01.2025 Fiorentina Fiorentina 0-3 HT 0-1 Napoli Napoli İTA
17.05.2024 Fiorentina Fiorentina 2-2 HT 2-1 Napoli Napoli İTA
18.01.2024 Napoli Napoli 3-0 HT 1-0 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTSK
PREVIEW Fiorentina vs Napoli
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

Neither Fiorentina nor Napoli earn a real lean from the model — expect a game decided by fine details.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Napoli lead the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Fiorentina and 2.50 for Napoli.

Fiorentina vs Napoli Kick-off Time

Fiorentina play Napoli in the Italy - Serie A on 20/09/2026, kick-off 13:30 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Fiorentina vs Napoli Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Fiorentina vs Napoli is an Napoli win at about 42% probability, priced 2.16 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Fiorentina 30%, draw 29%, Napoli 42%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTA More Italy - Serie A
20 Sep 2026
16:00 Frosinone vs Como Analysis →
16:00 Parma vs Genoa Analysis →
19:00 Juventus vs Atalanta Analysis →
21:45 Milan vs Lecce Analysis →