Uniao De Leiria vs Nacional Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Uniao De Leiria v Nacional — Team-Based Signals
Uniao De Leiria vs Nacional Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Uniao De Leiria
POR2
3-3
HT 3-1
Nacional
PRLK
2-3
HT 0-2
Nacional
POR
2-2
HT 0-1
Uniao De Leiria
POR
0-1
HT 0-1
Uniao De Leiria
POR
Uniao De Leiria 2-1 Nacional — Actual Match Statistics
Uniao De Leiria squeezed past Nacional 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Nacional at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Uniao De Leiria had 44% of the ball to Nacional's 56%, shots finished 9-12.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Uniao De Leiria and 1.83 for Nacional.
What was the final score of Uniao De Leiria vs Nacional?
Uniao De Leiria 2-1 Nacional in the Portugal - Cup on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Uniao De Leiria vs Nacional?
Before kick-off our model rated an Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Uniao De Leiria 32%, draw 26%, Nacional 43%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nacional) went the other way.