Barcelona II 2-1 Real Sociedad II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.75
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
30%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.75
Over 2.5
39%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.69
2-3 Goals
42%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
4.02
6+ Goals
8%
19.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.69 — our 31% vs market 29.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
53%
-13.0pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.2pp
30%
Away Win
21%
+8.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
53%
+7.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
47%
-7.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.8pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barcelona II EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Sociedad II EU Bookmakers 24%
+5% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +24%
1.82/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.29
+13% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / +8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
468 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 13.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barcelona II
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Real Sociedad II
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.65 xG 0.23
63% Ball Possession 37%
9 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
458 Passes 227
88% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 5
08.10.2023 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II 1-0 HT 1-0 Barcelona II Barcelona II İS3
28.01.2023 Barcelona II Barcelona II 1-1 HT 0-1 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II İS3
02.10.2022 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II 2-0 HT 1-0 Barcelona II Barcelona II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barcelona II
2-1
AWAY Real Sociedad II
2.24 xG 1.25
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 5
536 Passes 247
87% Pass Accuracy 74%
11 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Barcelona II vs Real Sociedad II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona II squeezed past Real Sociedad II 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and on the day Barcelona II made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Barcelona II had 64% of the ball to Real Sociedad II's 36%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 2.24 to 1.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Real Sociedad II led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Barcelona II and 1.33 for Real Sociedad II.

What was the final score of Barcelona II vs Real Sociedad II?

Barcelona II 2-1 Real Sociedad II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barcelona II vs Real Sociedad II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barcelona II win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Barcelona II 40%, draw 30%, Real Sociedad II 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barcelona II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barcelona II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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