Hearts vs Falkirk Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hearts v Falkirk — Team-Based Signals
Hearts vs Falkirk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Hearts
İKK
0-3
HT 0-1
Hearts
İKCL
Hearts 1-0 Falkirk — Actual Match Statistics
Hearts nicked a narrow win over Falkirk 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hearts as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Hearts had 49% of the ball to Falkirk's 51%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 1.10 to 0.74.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hearts had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Hearts and 0.50 for Falkirk.
What was the final score of Hearts vs Falkirk?
Hearts 1-0 Falkirk in the Scotland - Premiership on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hearts vs Falkirk?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Hearts 50%, draw 28%, Falkirk 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hearts), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.