Hearts 1-1 Falkirk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Cup, 17 Jan 2026

📅17/01/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.07
Over 2.5
57%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.75
No
44%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.8
2-3 Goals
34%
1.81
4-5 Goals
30%
3.02
6+ Goals
11%
9.73
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
14%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
59%
-6.7pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.6pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+6.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.5pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hearts EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Falkirk EU Bookmakers 22%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
3.11/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/0.94
+34% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +109%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
415 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hearts
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Falkirk
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.59 xG 0.84
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
326 Passes 328
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
34 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
13.12.2025 Falkirk Falkirk 0-2 HT 0-1 Hearts Hearts İKP
27.09.2025 Hearts Hearts 3-0 HT 2-0 Falkirk Falkirk İKP
17.08.2024 Falkirk Falkirk 2-0 HT 0-0 Hearts Hearts İKLK
08.02.2020 Falkirk Falkirk 0-1 HT 0-0 Hearts Hearts İKK
21.03.2015 Falkirk Falkirk 0-3 HT 0-1 Hearts Hearts İKCL
24.01.2015 Hearts Hearts 2-3 HT 1-1 Falkirk Falkirk İKCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hearts
1-1
AWAY Falkirk
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hearts vs Falkirk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hearts and Falkirk shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Hearts at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Hearts had 51% of the ball to Falkirk's 49%, shots finished 11-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hearts had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Hearts and 0.83 for Falkirk.

What was the final score of Hearts vs Falkirk?

Hearts 1-1 Falkirk in the Scotland - Cup on 17/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hearts vs Falkirk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Hearts 52%, draw 23%, Falkirk 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hearts), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hearts) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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