St. Mirren vs Motherwell Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
St. Mirren v Motherwell — Team-Based Signals
St. Mirren vs Motherwell Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
St. Mirren 0-5 Motherwell — Actual Match Statistics
Motherwell ran out comfortable winners over St. Mirren 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 30% / 37% — and on the day Motherwell made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.
On the day, St. Mirren had 29% of the ball to Motherwell's 71%, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 1.00 to 2.20.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Motherwell led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for St. Mirren and 1.33 for Motherwell.
What was the final score of St. Mirren vs Motherwell?
St. Mirren 0-5 Motherwell in the Scotland - Premiership on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for St. Mirren vs Motherwell?
Before kick-off our model rated an Motherwell win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split St. Mirren 34%, draw 30%, Motherwell 37%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Motherwell), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.