Motherwell vs St. Mirren Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Motherwell v St. Mirren — Team-Based Signals
Motherwell vs St. Mirren Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Motherwell 2-0 St. Mirren — Actual Match Statistics
Motherwell saw off St. Mirren 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Motherwell as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Motherwell had 55% of the ball to St. Mirren's 45%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.88 to 0.30.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Motherwell had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Motherwell and 1.33 for St. Mirren.
What was the final score of Motherwell vs St. Mirren?
Motherwell 2-0 St. Mirren in the Scotland - Premiership on 03/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Motherwell vs St. Mirren?
Before kick-off our model rated a Motherwell win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Motherwell 47%, draw 23%, St. Mirren 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Motherwell) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.