Celtic 1-3 Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 3 Jan 2026

📅03/01/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.23
2-3 Goals
44%
1.88
4-5 Goals
20%
2.93
6+ Goals
10%
8.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.25
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
8%
14.05
X/1
20%
4.48
X/2
11%
9.12
X/X
10%
5.91
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
21.0
2/2
7%
6.66
2/X
5%
15.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.0 — our 11% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
53%
+1.1pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.9pp
23%
Away Win
23%
-0.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.3pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celtic EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Rangers EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -12%
1.69/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.63
+14% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
361 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 79%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
17.8 Crosses 22.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celtic
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Rangers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.82 xG 1.26
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
480 Passes 227
84% Pass Accuracy 71%
23 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.11.2025 Celtic Celtic 3-1 HT 1-0 Rangers Rangers İKLK
31.08.2025 Rangers Rangers 0-0 HT 0-0 Celtic Celtic İKP
04.05.2025 Rangers Rangers 1-1 HT 1-0 Celtic Celtic İKP
16.03.2025 Celtic Celtic 2-3 HT 0-2 Rangers Rangers İKP
02.01.2025 Rangers Rangers 3-0 HT 1-0 Celtic Celtic İKP
15.12.2024 Celtic Celtic 3-3 HT 0-1 Rangers Rangers İKLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celtic
1-3
AWAY Rangers
2.33 xG 1.44
65% Ball Possession 35%
21 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
440 Passes 195
83% Pass Accuracy 70%
38 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Celtic vs Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rangers saw off Celtic 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Celtic at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Celtic had 65% of the ball to Rangers's 35%, shots finished 21-9, expected goals 2.33 to 1.44 — the balance of chances actually favoured Celtic.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rangers led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Celtic and 1.83 for Rangers.

What was the final score of Celtic vs Rangers?

Celtic 1-3 Rangers in the Scotland - Premiership on 03/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celtic vs Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Celtic 54%, draw 23%, Rangers 23%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Celtic) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Celtic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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