Dundee United 0-1 Dundee FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 3 Jan 2026

📅03/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.18
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.57
6+ Goals
10%
14.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.25
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
5%
15.15
X/1
20%
4.16
X/2
7%
9.29
X/X
12%
5.17
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
23.55
2/2
11%
7.61
2/X
8%
16.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.55 — our 8% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-3.9pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.9pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.0pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundee United EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundee FC EU Bookmakers 24%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +9%
1.55/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.54
-17% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
331 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 221 · 69%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
25.7 Crosses 17.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundee United
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Dundee FC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.85 xG 1.60
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
228 Passes 235
67% Pass Accuracy 65%
23 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
31.08.2025 Dundee FC Dundee FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
16.03.2025 Dundee United Dundee United 2-4 HT 1-3 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
20.01.2025 Dundee FC Dundee FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKK
02.01.2025 Dundee FC Dundee FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
04.08.2024 Dundee United Dundee United 2-2 HT 2-1 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
09.04.2022 Dundee United Dundee United 2-2 HT 1-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundee United
0-1
AWAY Dundee FC
1.50 xG 1.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
22 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
243 Passes 184
66% Pass Accuracy 59%
42 Box Touches 16
32 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dundee United vs Dundee FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundee FC nicked a narrow win over Dundee United 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Dundee United at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Dundee United had 55% of the ball to Dundee FC's 45%, shots finished 22-16, expected goals 1.50 to 1.83.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Dundee United and 1.67 for Dundee FC.

What was the final score of Dundee United vs Dundee FC?

Dundee United 0-1 Dundee FC in the Scotland - Premiership on 03/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundee United vs Dundee FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dundee United win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Dundee United 50%, draw 25%, Dundee FC 24%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dundee United) ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İKP More Scotland - Premiership
3 Jan 2026
15:30 Celtic vs Rangers Analysis →
18:00 Hearts vs Livingston Analysis →
18:00 Motherwell vs St. Mirren Analysis →
18:00 Kilmarnock vs Hibernian Analysis →
18:00 Falkirk vs Aberdeen Analysis →