Aberdeen 2-3 Dundee FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.9
Over 2.5
43%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.73
No
56%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.2
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.43
6+ Goals
8%
13.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.2 — our 34% vs market 24.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.69
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.15
X/1
14%
4.63
X/2
12%
7.34
X/X
13%
4.74
2/1
9%
24.35
2/2
8%
5.48
2/X
8%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
+0.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-1.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
49%
+8.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
51%
-8.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
54%
-10.1pp
56%
BTTS No
46%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aberdeen EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundee FC EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +11%
1.64/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.53
+5% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
355 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 68%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
24.8 Crosses 18.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aberdeen
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Dundee FC
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.54 xG 1.28
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
334 Passes 280
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 29
16 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.12.2025 Dundee FC Dundee FC 1-3 HT 0-2 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
05.10.2025 Aberdeen Aberdeen 4-0 HT 3-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
15.02.2025 Dundee FC Dundee FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
09.11.2024 Aberdeen Aberdeen 4-1 HT 0-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
28.09.2024 Dundee FC Dundee FC 1-2 HT 1-2 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
13.04.2024 Aberdeen Aberdeen 0-0 HT 0-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aberdeen
2-3
AWAY Dundee FC
0.46 xG 3.95
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 23
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 9
307 Passes 251
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 37
21 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Aberdeen vs Dundee FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundee FC nicked a narrow win over Aberdeen 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Aberdeen at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aberdeen had 53% of the ball to Dundee FC's 47%, shots finished 11-23, expected goals 0.46 to 3.95 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Dundee FC's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aberdeen had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Aberdeen and 0.67 for Dundee FC.

What was the final score of Aberdeen vs Dundee FC?

Aberdeen 2-3 Dundee FC in the Scotland - Premiership on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aberdeen vs Dundee FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aberdeen win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Aberdeen 48%, draw 27%, Dundee FC 25%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Aberdeen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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