Dundee United vs Kilmarnock Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Dundee United v Kilmarnock — Team-Based Signals
Dundee United vs Kilmarnock Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Dundee United 1-1 Kilmarnock — Actual Match Statistics
Dundee United and Kilmarnock shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Dundee United at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Dundee United had 40% of the ball to Kilmarnock's 60%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 2.05 to 0.50.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kilmarnock led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dundee United and 1.67 for Kilmarnock.
What was the final score of Dundee United vs Kilmarnock?
Dundee United 1-1 Kilmarnock in the Scotland - Premiership on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Dundee United vs Kilmarnock?
Before kick-off our model rated a Dundee United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Dundee United 45%, draw 26%, Kilmarnock 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dundee United), Over 2.5 went the other way.