Rotherham United 1-2 Doncaster Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 21 Feb 2026

Rotherham United
1-2 HT 1-0
Doncaster Rovers
📅21/02/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Rotherham United vs Doncaster Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.53
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.44
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.12
6+ Goals
10%
10.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.84
1/2
10%
26.0
1/X
8%
12.7
X/1
11%
5.92
X/2
11%
5.59
X/X
10%
4.83
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
16%
3.51
2/X
5%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
36%
+3.5pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.5pp
37%
Away Win
37%
+0.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.4pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rotherham United v Doncaster Rovers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rotherham United EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Doncaster Rovers EU Bookmakers 40%
+8% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
1.48/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.25
+13% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
287 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 70%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
24.6 Crosses 20.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9

Rotherham United vs Doncaster Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rotherham United
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Doncaster Rovers
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.90 xG 0.75
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
215 Passes 256
67% Pass Accuracy 68%
24 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.08.2025 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 1-0 HT 1-0 Rotherham United Rotherham United İN1
03.08.2024 Rotherham United Rotherham United 0-0 HT 0-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers HAZ
01.02.2022 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 0-5 HT 0-2 Rotherham United Rotherham United İN1
07.09.2021 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 0-6 HT 0-3 Rotherham United Rotherham United İNTK
28.08.2021 Rotherham United Rotherham United 2-0 HT 2-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN1
08.10.2019 Rotherham United Rotherham United 3-2 HT 1-1 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İNTK

Rotherham United 1-2 Doncaster Rovers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rotherham United
1-2
AWAY Doncaster Rovers
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
240 Passes 203
66% Pass Accuracy 62%
POST-MATCH Rotherham United vs Doncaster Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Doncaster Rovers nicked a narrow win over Rotherham United 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 23% / 37% — and on the day Doncaster Rovers made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Rotherham United had 52% of the ball to Doncaster Rovers's 48%, shots finished 8-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rotherham United had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Rotherham United and 0.50 for Doncaster Rovers.

What was the final score of Rotherham United vs Doncaster Rovers?

Rotherham United 1-2 Doncaster Rovers in the England - 1st Division on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rotherham United vs Doncaster Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rotherham United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Rotherham United 40%, draw 23%, Doncaster Rovers 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rotherham United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rotherham United) ✓ BTTS Yes
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